Aegean Tension IndexA daily escalation/de-escalation index for Cyprus, Greece and Türkiye across the Aegean and Eastern Mediterranean, from open-source indicators & warnings. A heuristic, not a forecast.

What changed · 29 Aug 2026

Retrospective: Follow-up to the Alexandroupoli drone incident; Greek officials weigh whether recent UAV incursions are coordinated signalling. Athens restates its challenge to Türkiye's marine parks. No new incident reported.

• Military posture: 4/10 · No new incident; assessment of the 28 Aug UAV incursion continues.
• Diplomatic / political: 4/10 · Greece restates its legal objection to the two Turkish marine parks declared on 15 Aug.
• Economic / informational: 4/10 · No new economic or cyber incident.
• EW / SIGINT: 3/10 · No jamming or emitter incidents reported in open sources.

Sources

• GreekReporter: Greek F-16s scramble after Turkish drone approaches Alexandroupoli
• Greek City Times: Greece challenges Turkey over 'marine parks' in Aegean

Open the interactive view → · Sign in to download the full data (CSV/JSON, free account)