Aegean Tension IndexA daily escalation/de-escalation index for Cyprus, Greece and Türkiye across the Aegean and Eastern Mediterranean, from open-source indicators & warnings. A heuristic, not a forecast.

Index29 / 100
24 h change+0.4
StatusELEVATED
Warning signalNo spikes
Assessment8 Sep 2026
Last updated05:55 UTC9 Nov 2026

What changed · 8 Sep 2026

Retrospective: Coverage of Greece's deepening ties with Israel as a delicate balancing act. No incidents reported.

  • Military posture: 3/10 · No specific incident reported.
  • Diplomatic / political: 4/10 · Analysis of Greece-Israel alignment and its effect on relations with Türkiye.
  • Economic / informational: 4/10 · No new economic or cyber incident.
  • EW / SIGINT: 3/10 · No jamming or emitter incidents reported in open sources.

Sources

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