Aegean Tension IndexA daily escalation/de-escalation index for Cyprus, Greece and Türkiye across the Aegean and Eastern Mediterranean, from open-source indicators & warnings. A heuristic, not a forecast.

What changed · 12 Sep 2026

Retrospective: Mitsotakis, with the chief of the defence staff, visits military outposts on Ro and Strongyli beside the Turkish coast: "We threaten no one, but accept no threats." High-visibility signalling; no new air incidents reported.

• Military posture: 4/10 · Greek leadership inspects frontline outposts on Ro and Strongyli; no Turkish air activity reported today.
• Diplomatic / political: 5/10 · Symbolic frontline visit by PM, parliament speaker and CHOD; message aimed squarely at Ankara.
• Economic / informational: 4/10 · No new economic or cyber incident.
• EW / SIGINT: 3/10 · No jamming or emitter incidents reported in open sources.

Sources

• To Vima: Mitsotakis to Turkey: 'We threaten no one, but accept no threats'
• Greek City Times: Ankara reacts angrily to Mitsotakis visit to Kastellorizo

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