Index43 / 100
24 h change+7.3
StatusELEVATED
Warning signalNo spikes
Assessment17 Sep 2026
Last updated05:55 UTC9 Nov 2026
What changed · 17 Sep 2026
Retrospective: Turkish Defence Ministry (Rear Adm. Aktürk) says Greek troops and naval vessels on Kastellorizo violate its demilitarised status under the 1947 Paris treaty. International coverage frames Greece-Israel ties as the driver of new friction.
- Military posture: 4/10 · Turkish MoD formally contests Greek military presence on Kastellorizo; preparations for a large Turkish naval exercise emerge.
- Diplomatic / political: 5/10 · MoD statement adds a military voice to the FM's demilitarisation line; Greek-Israel ties in international press.
- Economic / informational: 4/10 · No new economic or cyber incident.
- EW / SIGINT: 3/10 · No jamming or emitter incidents reported in open sources.
Sources
- Turkish Minute: Turkey says Greek military activity on island off its coast violates treaty
- ProtoThema: Ankara provokes again over Mitsotakis' visit to Kastellorizo
- Irish Times: Greece's growing ties with Israel spark tensions with Turkey
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