Index49 / 100
24 h change−0.3
StatusELEVATED
Warning signalNo spikes
Assessment23 Sep 2026
Last updated05:55 UTC9 Nov 2026
What changed · 23 Sep 2026
Retrospective: Türkiye issues a month-long NOTAM (25 Sep to 27 Oct; five areas, six air routes from the north Aegean to the Dodecanese) and Greece answers with a counter-NOTAM. Athens prepares its UN response. Exercise heads toward its 24 Sep finale.
- Military posture: 5/10 · Unilateral Turkish NOTAM for 25 Sep to 27 Oct; Greek counter-NOTAM; Denizkurdu-I nearing its peak.
- Diplomatic / political: 4/10 · Greece prepares firm messages for its UN address; no bilateral contact.
- Economic / informational: 4/10 · Media rhetoric war builds; interconnector survey dispute unresolved ahead of an October start.
- EW / SIGINT: 4/10 · No incidents reported; exercise-related emissions plausible but unconfirmed.
Sources
- Greek City Times: New Turkish provocation violates Greek airspace
- Greek City Times: Greece prepares strong messages for Turkey at United Nations
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