Index55 / 100
24 h change+21.0
StatusTENSE
Warning signalSpike · 1 category
Assessment25 Oct 2026
Last updated05:55 UTC9 Nov 2026
What changed · 25 Oct 2026
Diplomatic tension stayed elevated as Greece pressed its rejection of the ratified Turkey-Libya maritime memorandum at the UN Security Council with EU backing, while Greek and Turkish authorities traded NAVTEX notices over a Saudi Arabia-Greece data-cable survey off Crete and Rhodes. No new confirmed airspace or naval incident was reported in the past 24 hours, and a Cyprus-Greece-France-Italy naval exercise south of Cyprus concluded without incident.
- Military posture: 5/10 · No new confirmed airspace or naval incident in the past 24 hours; the quadrilateral EUNOMIA-7/2026 exercise south of Cyprus concluded Thursday without incident.
- Diplomatic / political: 6/10 · Greece pressed its rejection of the Turkey-Libya maritime memorandum at the UN Security Council and in EU channels, with Brussels backing Athens and options including sanctions on Libya and extending Greek territorial waters under review; Turkish officials hailed the ratification as vindicating Ankara's claims.
- Economic / informational: 6/10 · Türkiye and Greece issued dueling NAVTEX notices over a survey for the Saudi Arabia-Greece East to Med Data Corridor cable off Crete and Rhodes, each asserting continental-shelf jurisdiction, while a separate vessel awaits NAVTEX to resume Cyprus-Crete power-cable surveys.
- EW / SIGINT: 3/10 · No jamming, spoofing or other interference incident linked to Greece, Cyprus or Türkiye was reported in the past 24 hours.
Sources
- Hellenic Republic MFA: Announcement on the decision of the Libyan House of Representatives concerning the Turkish-Libyan memorandum (20.10.2026)
- FORMedia: Τουρκολιβυκό μνημόνιο: Οι επόμενες κινήσεις της Αθήνας (Greek)
- Daily Sabah: Türkiye hails Libya maritime deal as EU, Greece object
- Cyprus Mail: Cyprus, Greece, France and Italy conclude joint naval exercise
- ProtoThema English: Turkey presses ahead with new NAVTEX over EMC cable linking Saudi Arabia and Greece
- ProtoThema English: Cable survey vessel sails from Naples, due in Heraklion on Tuesday as NAVTEX awaited
- To Vima: Αιγαίο: 17 τουρκικές παραβιάσεις στη σκιά των εξελίξεων με το τουρκολιβυκό μνημόνιο (Greek)
- Greek City Times: Greece Records Over 640 Turkish Airspace Violations in 9 Months
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