Index49 / 100
24 h change+14.5
StatusELEVATED
Warning signalSpike · 1 category
Assessment31 Oct 2026
Last updated05:55 UTC9 Nov 2026
What changed · 31 Oct 2026
Tension ticked up slightly after the Hellenic General Staff reported two mock air-combat engagements between armed Turkish and Greek F-16s over the Aegean on 30 October, alongside elevated UAV and NAVTEX activity. Rival Greek-Turkish NAVTEX notices over two separate undersea cable projects kept economic and maritime friction elevated, while diplomatic exchanges stayed routine around Greece's Oxi Day commemorations. No GNSS interference was reported.
- Military posture: 6/10 · Greek MoD reported 2 mock air-combat engagements between armed Turkish and Greek F-16s during Aegean intercepts on 30 Oct.
- Diplomatic / political: 4/10 · Greek consul in Istanbul restated Athens' rejection of Turkish continental-shelf claims at an Oxi Day event on 28 Oct; no démarche or recall reported.
- Economic / informational: 5/10 · Türkiye and Greece maintain rival NAVTEX claims over two cable corridors (EMC and the Crete-Cyprus GSI); Cyprus's GSI survey NAVTEX missed its end-of-October target.
- EW / SIGINT: 3/10 · No GPS/GNSS jamming, spoofing or signals interference linked to Greece, Cyprus or Türkiye was reported in the past 24 hours.
Sources
- Newsit.gr: Engagements over the Aegean with armed Turkish F-16s - 13 violations, 15 infringements (Greek)
- Cyprus Mail: Greece's Papastavrou says GSI is 'proceeding with a plan'
- Hürriyet: Docked at Crete, eyes on the French ship in the cable project (Turkish)
- ProtoThema English: Turkey presses ahead with new NAVTEX over EMC cable linking Saudi Arabia and Greece
- Greek City Times: Greek Consul Rejects Turkish Aegean Claims at Istanbul Oxi Day Event
- Greek MFA: Announcement on the decision of Libya's House of Representatives on the Türkiye-Libya memorandum (Greek)
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