Index40 / 100
24 h change+3.5
StatusELEVATED
Warning signalNo spikes
Assessment7 Nov 2026
Last updated05:55 UTC9 Nov 2026
What changed · 7 Nov 2026
Turkey issued counter-NAVTEX notices rejecting Greek and Cypriot authority to survey two separate undersea cable routes, the Crete-Cyprus power interconnector and a Saudi Arabia-Greece telecom cable via Cyprus's EEZ, after Athens licensed survey work on 6 November. Category scores held at the elevated levels seen since late October, driven by this cable dispute, continuing drone-linked Aegean airspace violations, and a visit by Turkish FM Fidan to the north of Cyprus restating Ankara's two-state position.
- Military posture: 4/10 · 7 Turkish UAVs and a Navy ATR-72 logged 15 Greek airspace violations and 11 Athens FIR infringements in data released 6 Nov; no naval incidents reported.
- Diplomatic / political: 5/10 · Turkish FM Fidan visited the north of Cyprus on 6 Nov to meet Erhurman, Ustel and Ertugruloglu and restate Ankara's two-state position, as UN envoy Holguin's shuttle visit continued.
- Economic / informational: 5/10 · Turkey issued counter-NAVTEX 1105/26 and 1100/26 (Antalya) rejecting Greek and Cypriot authority over surveys for the GSI power cable (Abeille Marengo) and the East to Med Corridor telecom cable (Kobi Ruegg).
- EW / SIGINT: 3/10 · No GNSS jamming, spoofing or other interference incidents linked to Greece, Cyprus or Turkiye were reported in the period.
Sources
- Cyprus Mail: Turkey issues counter-Navtex challenging Cyprus over East Med cable surveys
- ProtoThema English: The "NAVTEX battle" between Greece & Turkey over the cable to Cyprus has begun, with Ankara making provocative demands
- Hurriyet Daily News: Turkiye objects to East Med cable surveys
- Turkiye Today: Turkiye says French ship plans unauthorized survey on its continental shelf
- Greek City Times: Turkish Drones Record 15 Airspace Violations Over Aegean
- TRT World: Turkiye's Fidan to visit TRNC for talks on Cyprus issue
- Cyprus Mail: Unficyp briefs UK delegation on developments in Cyprus buffer zone
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