Index47 / 100
24 h change+12.3
StatusELEVATED
Warning signalNo spikes
Assessment17 Oct 2026
Last updated05:55 UTC9 Nov 2026
What changed · 17 Oct 2026
Turkey issued two NAVTEX notices within hours on 16 October, disputing Greek authority over the multinational EUNOMIA 2026 live-fire exercise area south of Kastellorizo and separately asserting continental-shelf jurisdiction over the planned Cyprus-Crete cable survey corridor. Cyprus's reunification process remained stalled, with a Cyprus Mail editorial calling the talks "political theatre," even as President Christodoulides announced a high-level EU-Turkey meeting on the Cyprus problem before the end of October. No new airspace incidents or electronic-interference reports were confirmed in the past 24 hours.
- Military posture: 5/10 · Turkey's Antalya NAVTEX station disputed Greek authority over the EUNOMIA 2026 live-fire exercise area south of Kastellorizo (19 Oct), then issued a second notice over the Cyprus-Crete cable survey corridor, both asserting Turkish continental-shelf jurisdiction.
- Diplomatic / political: 5/10 · Cyprus reunification talks remain stalled, with confidence-building measures unresolved since July, even as Christodoulides announced a high-level EU-Turkey meeting on the Cyprus problem before the end of October.
- Economic / informational: 5/10 · Turkey issued two NAVTEX notices in one day claiming continental-shelf jurisdiction over the Cyprus-Crete GSI cable survey corridor, as Cyprus's energy minister said Nicosia's own NAVTEX for the surveys is expected within October.
- EW / SIGINT: 3/10 · No GPS/GNSS jamming, spoofing or other interference incidents linked to Greece, Cyprus or Türkiye were reported in the past 24 hours.
Sources
- Greek City Times: Turkey Issues Navtex for Live-Fire Exercise South of Kastellorizo
- To Vima: Turkey Issues Counter-NAVTEX for Exercise South of Kastellorizo
- To Vima: Turkey Won't Allow Greece-Cyprus Cable Without Its Approval, Defence Ministry Says
- Sigmalive: GSI - Turkey Issues NAVTEX for Area Where French Ship Is Due to Pass
- ProtoThema English: Turkey Issues Second Anti-NAVTEX in Hours, Challenging Cyprus's EEZ and EMC Cable Survey Operations Linking Asia and Europe
- ProtoThema English: Four Violations of Greek Airspace by Turkish UAVs in the Aegean
- Cyprus Mail: Our View - Cyprus Talks Have Become Political Theatre
- Cyprus Mail: Harmanci - Christodoulides Has Become a Prisoner of Rising Ultranationalism
- Euronews: EU-Turkey Summit in October Aims to Restart Cyprus Talks
- Calibration data from
Open the interactive view → · Sign in to download the full data (CSV/JSON, free account)